As a forex trader, if you check several different currency pairs to find the trade setups, you should be aware of the currency pairs correlation, because of two main reasons:
1- You avoid taking the same position with several correlated currency pairs at the same time and so you do not multiply your risk. Additionally, you avoid taking the positions with the currency pairs that move against each other, at the same time. 2- If you know the currency pairs correlations, it may help you to predict the direction and movement of a currency pair, through the signals that you see on the other correlated currency pairs.
Now I explain how currency pairs correlation helps. Lets start with the 4 major currency pairs: EUR-USD ; GBP-USD ; USD-JPY and USD-CHF.
In both of the first two currency pairs (EUR-USD and GBP-USD), USD works as the money. As you know, the first currency in currency pairs is known as the commodity and the second one is the money. So when you buy EUR-USD, it means you pay USD to buy Euro. In EUR-USD and GBP-USD, the currency that works as the money is the same (USD). The commodity of these pairs are both related to two big European economies. These two currencies are highly connected and related to each other and in 99% of the cases they move on the same direction and form the same buy/sell signals. Just recently, because of the economy crisis, they moved a little differently but their main bias is still the same.
What does it mean? It means if EUR-USD shows a buy signal, GBP-USD should also show a buy signal with minor differences in the strength and shape of the signal. If you analyze the market and you come to this conclusion that you should go short with EUR-USD and at the same time you decided to go long with GBP-USD, it means something is wrong with your analysis and one of your analysis is wrong. So you should not take any position until you see the same signal in both of these pairs. Of course, when these pairs really show two different direction (which rarely happens), it will be a signal to trade EUR-GBP. I will tell you how.
Accordingly, USD-CHF and USD-JPY behave so similar but not as similar as EUR-USD and GBP-USD, because in USD-CHF and USD-JPY, money is different. Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen have some similarities because both of them belong to oil consumer countries but the volume of industrial trades in Japan, makes JPY different.
Generally, when you analyze the four major currency pairs, if you see buy signals in EUR-USD and GBP-USD, you should see sell signals in USD-JPY. If you also see a sell signal in USD-CHF, then your analysis is more reliable. Otherwise, you have to revise and redo your analysis.
EUR-USD, GBP-USD, AUD-USD, NZD-USD, GBP-JPY, EUR-JPY, AUD-JPY and NZD-JPY usually have the same direction. Just their movement pattern sometimes becomes more similar to each other and sometimes less.
1- You avoid taking the same position with several correlated currency pairs at the same time and so you do not multiply your risk. Additionally, you avoid taking the positions with the currency pairs that move against each other, at the same time. 2- If you know the currency pairs correlations, it may help you to predict the direction and movement of a currency pair, through the signals that you see on the other correlated currency pairs.
Now I explain how currency pairs correlation helps. Lets start with the 4 major currency pairs: EUR-USD ; GBP-USD ; USD-JPY and USD-CHF.
In both of the first two currency pairs (EUR-USD and GBP-USD), USD works as the money. As you know, the first currency in currency pairs is known as the commodity and the second one is the money. So when you buy EUR-USD, it means you pay USD to buy Euro. In EUR-USD and GBP-USD, the currency that works as the money is the same (USD). The commodity of these pairs are both related to two big European economies. These two currencies are highly connected and related to each other and in 99% of the cases they move on the same direction and form the same buy/sell signals. Just recently, because of the economy crisis, they moved a little differently but their main bias is still the same.
What does it mean? It means if EUR-USD shows a buy signal, GBP-USD should also show a buy signal with minor differences in the strength and shape of the signal. If you analyze the market and you come to this conclusion that you should go short with EUR-USD and at the same time you decided to go long with GBP-USD, it means something is wrong with your analysis and one of your analysis is wrong. So you should not take any position until you see the same signal in both of these pairs. Of course, when these pairs really show two different direction (which rarely happens), it will be a signal to trade EUR-GBP. I will tell you how.
Accordingly, USD-CHF and USD-JPY behave so similar but not as similar as EUR-USD and GBP-USD, because in USD-CHF and USD-JPY, money is different. Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen have some similarities because both of them belong to oil consumer countries but the volume of industrial trades in Japan, makes JPY different.
Generally, when you analyze the four major currency pairs, if you see buy signals in EUR-USD and GBP-USD, you should see sell signals in USD-JPY. If you also see a sell signal in USD-CHF, then your analysis is more reliable. Otherwise, you have to revise and redo your analysis.
EUR-USD, GBP-USD, AUD-USD, NZD-USD, GBP-JPY, EUR-JPY, AUD-JPY and NZD-JPY usually have the same direction. Just their movement pattern sometimes becomes more similar to each other and sometimes less.
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